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WSOB 8/ RO result and comments

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Monday, 25 August 2008, at 1:58 a.m.

In Response To: WSOB 8 (bob koca)

Snowie 3 - ply thinks I win 77.6%, gnu 2-ply thinks I win 72.5%. The RO shows a value in between of about 75.6% making it a very close pass.

I thought about this one for a while also. The big race lead was scaring me away from doubling and then I looked more and it started looking better and better for me as I saw his inflexibility and that I could attack loosely if needed because of his lack of board and blots.

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The score (after 0 games) is: Bob Koca 0, Falafel 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 29: Bob Koca on roll, cube decision?

Bob Koca	111
Falafel	85
Position ID: X7cAGCDMnWMGAA Match ID: AQFgAAAAAAAA

• Bob Koca doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.604472	(Money: +0.712841)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000000
2.	Double, take	+1.022077	+0.022077
3.	No double	+0.900947	-0.099053
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Bob Koca owns 2-cube 0.740038 0.240816 0.031216 - 0.259962 0.039119 0.000149 +0.604472 +0.900947 Standard error 0.004114 0.016717 0.015834 - 0.004114 0.003091 0.000196 0.014172 0.014667 Player Falafel owns 4-cube 0.756306 0.248265 0.028261 - 0.243694 0.055974 0.000418 +1.022076 +1.022077 Standard error 0.001356 0.006715 0.002595 - 0.001356 0.003336 0.000164 0.005408 0.005408
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1709 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 830710605 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 72 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• WSOB 8
  bob koca -- Saturday, 23 August 2008, at 4:33 a.m.
  • WSOB 8
    Coolrey -- Saturday, 23 August 2008, at 5:00 a.m.
    • WSOB 8
      Stick -- Saturday, 23 August 2008, at 8:13 a.m.
      • WSOB 8
        Mike Main -- Sunday, 24 August 2008, at 9:56 a.m.
        • WSOB 8
          Coolrey -- Sunday, 24 August 2008, at 2:16 p.m.
  • WSOB 8
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 23 August 2008, at 2:23 p.m.
  • WSOB 8/ RO result and comments
    bob koca -- Monday, 25 August 2008, at 1:58 a.m.