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Monster Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 12 February 2007, at 6:48 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Th. Feb. 8th (Stick)


Match to 25, White leads 18 to 10
156
164
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/13 -0.397
0.3% 7.3% 40.6% 59.4% 16.6% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: -0.420
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.284 ±0.006, - live cube: -0.420 ±0.013. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 159148 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/7 11/6 -0.408 (-0.011)
0.3% 6.8% 40.2% 59.8% 15.8% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: -0.424
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.290 ±0.006, - live cube: -0.424 ±0.011. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 181687 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
3 R 13/7 13/8 -0.416 (-0.019)
0.3% 7.3% 39.8% 60.2% 16.1% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: -0.444
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.295 ±0.007, - live cube: -0.444 ±0.016. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 3240 games (equiv. 109502 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

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