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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 12 February 2007, at 7:12 p.m.

In Response To: Chouette Action (Stick)

Hit 'em up hit 'em up. This freezes white's blot in the outfield and you have a real chance of carrying out a decent attack here in many forms. I don't mean closing White out, while possible, not highly probably. You hit both and hope that White enters with something lame (if at all), like a single 2 or 3. This gives you an immediate shot at the other blot and if you can put him up on the roof you'll now have all White's pips basically rapped up behind your broken prime. It will also give you phenomenal outfield coverage and making the bar pt. or 9 pt. should be easy. Even if you are hit on the ace point it's far from the end of the world but hitting two is definitely the best route to victory.

Money Game
133
151
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/3*/1* 0.145
0.9% 19.1% 53.5% 46.5% 15.4% 0.8%
Live cube rollout: 0.173
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.109 ±0.013, - live cube: 0.173 ±0.025. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1728 games (equiv. 43032 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/6 0.092 (-0.052)
0.5% 13.2% 52.6% 47.4% 11.6% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: 0.108
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.067 ±0.012, - live cube: 0.108 ±0.022. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1512 games (equiv. 45675 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

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