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Rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 5:31 p.m.

In Response To: Getting blitzed as usual (neilkaz)

Technically no double, which is suprising but I do have extra cube vig if I survive, which is quite often, even when trailing 2-0. From a practical standpoint, a must double for a weaker player vs me with a good chance to be up 6-0 or send me off to BK for finding a weak pass here. However, with those 3 op checkers far back, chances she won't cover the ace pt, chances to crash, difficulties making the 3 pt, I had to take.

After a while I'd survived and she'd buried two dead checkers to the ace pt and was squeezed off an anchor in my outfield. I recube, even though it was slightly technically TG, and was rewarded by an atrocious take, and won a G basically ending the match.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 2, Neil 0 (match to 9 points)

Move number 3: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: gnubg 128, Neil 153
Position ID: sLfBAWDNdhIAKg Match ID: MAEgASAAAAAA

• gnubg doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0909)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4980	(Money: +0.5026)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.5776
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4224
3.	Double, take	+0.4867	-0.0909
Proper cube action:		No double, take (17.7%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5957 0.4162 0.0053 - 0.4043 0.1053 0.0050 +0.4980 +0.5776 Standard error 0.0014 0.0017 0.0003 - 0.0014 0.0014 0.0003 0.0045 0.0110 Player Neil owns 2-cube 0.5972 0.4243 0.0066 - 0.4028 0.1105 0.0064 +0.9759 +0.4867 Standard error 0.0018 0.0023 0.0010 - 0.0018 0.0016 0.0006 0.0118 0.0178
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831538900 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Getting blitzed as usual
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 4:56 a.m.
  • Getting blitzed as usual
    Dan Pelton -- Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 6:33 a.m.
  • Getting blitzed as usual
    John Little -- Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 8:44 a.m.
  • Getting blitzed as usual
    Marty Storer -- Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 1:55 p.m.
  • Getting blitzed as usual
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 3:02 p.m.
  • Rollout etc
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 31 August 2008, at 5:31 p.m.
    • Rollout etc
      Marty Storer -- Tuesday, 2 September 2008, at 2:13 p.m.