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BGonline.org Forums
4 ply and short rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: GSish 3rd roll play (neilkaz)
Date: Monday, 1 September 2008, at 3:26 p.m.
I OTB I hit two with the pure 6/5x 14/10 being a close 2nd. Hitting two is OK even at score as I lead in the race and preserve outfield diversification and have a good 6 from the roof if hit with an ace. The key is to avoid the sucky stacky 24/20 14/13 here.
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 3, Neil 8 (match to 9 points, Crawford game)
Move number 4: Neil to play 14
Pip counts: gnubg 158, Neil 157
Position ID: 4PPgASHgc/AFIA Match ID: 8IkwATAAQAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/5*/1* -0.1561
0.5085 0.2141 0.0192 - 0.4915 0.1328 0.0036 -0.1561 -0.1561 0.0031 0.0126 0.0046 - 0.0031 0.0032 0.0010 0.0074 0.0074 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 417 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831565717 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 14/10 6/5* -0.1768 ( -0.0207)
0.4989 0.1714 0.0244 - 0.5011 0.1336 0.0074 -0.1768 -0.1768 0.0041 0.0106 0.0053 - 0.0041 0.0034 0.0024 0.0097 0.0097 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 416 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831565717 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 24/20 14/13 -0.2185 ( -0.0625)
0.4848 0.1427 0.0194 - 0.5152 0.1443 0.0051 -0.2185 -0.2185 0.0035 0.0104 0.0052 - 0.0035 0.0033 0.0015 0.0079 0.0079 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 416 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831565717 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 4 24/20 6/5* -0.1745 ( -0.0184) 0.5008 0.1051 0.0038 - 0.4992 0.1350 0.0045 5 4 13/9 6/5* -0.1837 ( -0.0276) 0.5058 0.1335 0.0049 - 0.4942 0.1495 0.0073 6 4 14/9 -0.2169 ( -0.0608) 0.4815 0.1149 0.0036 - 0.5185 0.1379 0.0040 7 4 13/8 -0.2318 ( -0.0758) 0.4786 0.1025 0.0031 - 0.5214 0.1451 0.0036
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