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Historic BG Quiz problem 5

Posted By: Perry Gartner
Date: Monday, 1 September 2008, at 6:54 p.m.

In Response To: Historic BG Quiz problem 5 (Chuck Bower)

By making the 5 point, 1's are duped, White's checker on the roof is a favored to come in, and Black still needs tons of time to extract the guys on the 24. Therefore, White's most common path to victory will involve picking up a second or even a third checker. Unfortuately the 1 duplication plus the 20 immiediate incoming numbers make this path rather narrow.

Timing is best achieved by slotting the 5, putting 2 on the roof now, and positioning the roll of of a 5 to put a 3rd up. Making the 5 risks 7 returns that put the checker on the 16 point on the roof. Slotting the 5 just risks 4 more numbers and the reward is huge when not hit.

I am apparently going against the tide but my guess is 5* and 15* are right and 5 turns out to be a whopper or close to it.

Perry

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