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Re: Backgame late hit and close

Posted By: Chase
Date: Wednesday, 14 February 2007, at 7:56 a.m.

In Response To: Backgame late hit and close (DC-Ohio)

If White's stack were on the 1pt, Blue could expect to win ~30%, assuming Blue's spares work efficiently for him. Each point farther back you move White's stack costs him 3 or 4%, so Blue should win ~ 37%.

Check out Michael Bo Hansen's 432 rule for a quick and dirty method of estimating these types of positions.

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