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Madison 53 to play

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Monday, 8 September 2008, at 6:44 p.m.

In Response To: Madison 53 to play (Stick)

Ugh...if you were going to run this time, why did you leave a blot on the 11 last time?

18/15 18/13 leaves 3s, 1s, and 6s to hit, plus 2s and 4s to cover, so unless White rolls a 5 he'll either hit two of those blots or cover one, which will leave you with 11-13 gammonish shots from the bar. If you don't hit them you'll end up getting gammoned yourself. 55 hits and evens up the race but leaves a bunch of shots.

There's the reluctant 11/3 and wait for a joker or hope White throws 2 6s fast, but it looks a little too stripped to be right here.

Is there any way you can improve on 25 great rolls for White? Well, 18/13 11/8 duplicates aces. That leaves just 6s and 1s to hit. More hits and covers but less double hits.

18/15 11/6 looks wrong, and 18/10 doesn't quite look right.

I'd go with 18/13 11/8.

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