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BGonline.org Forums
OT: Bower line on LHC disaster?
Posted By: Jason Lee In Response To: OT: Bower line on LHC disaster? (CamFella)
Date: Tuesday, 9 September 2008, at 10:40 p.m.
1 in 250 was the original estimate of failure for the Shuttle missions ... we know that was a bit off ...
If the probability of failure really is 1 in 250, then there is a 1 out of 12 chance of having had at least two failures by this time. Last roll of the game... you need double fours or better.
JLee
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