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Bonus Q - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 10 September 2008, at 1:06 a.m.

In Response To: Bonus Q (Matt Cohn-Geier)

This one's TCTC after 12k games. Probably there is more room for error in White's position than in Blue's, so I think I'd take this one.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 4, Blue 5

Move number 4: White to play 41

White	137
Blue	152
Position ID: 4PPgA0BGd4MBKA Match ID: MBkGAEAAKAAA

• Blue accepts

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.6098
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9957
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0043
3.	No double	+0.8461	-0.1496
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6771 0.3111 0.0050 - 0.3229 0.0579 0.0025 +0.6098 +0.8461 Standard error 0.0004 0.0007 0.0001 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0001 0.0011 0.0028 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6845 0.3134 0.0047 - 0.3155 0.0559 0.0028 +1.2569 +0.9957 Standard error 0.0005 0.0009 0.0002 - 0.0005 0.0004 0.0001 0.0027 0.0038
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
12200 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 837343670 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Early doubles cube
  Keene -- Saturday, 6 September 2008, at 9:21 p.m.
  • Early doubles cube
    Philippe Michel -- Saturday, 6 September 2008, at 10:17 p.m.
  • Early doubles cube
    garyo -- Saturday, 6 September 2008, at 11:28 p.m.
  • Early doubles cube
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 6 September 2008, at 11:54 p.m.
  • Bonus Q
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 8 September 2008, at 6:20 p.m.
    • Bonus Q - ROLLOUT
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 10 September 2008, at 1:06 a.m.
  • Early doubles cube - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Tuesday, 9 September 2008, at 1:04 p.m.
    • Early doubles cube - ROLLOUT
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 9 September 2008, at 3:05 p.m.