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DMP play 2-1 to hit or escape

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 14 September 2008, at 4:11 p.m.

In Response To: DMP play 2-1 to hit or escape (pontiac)

I think I would hit here, B/24* 13/11. The problem with coming in on the deuce point is that White will attack with 4s, 2s, and 5s, he'll come up with 3s. That looks like too many good numbers IMO. You'll likely win the priming game no matter what you do if you make your 4 point, and I think hitting is the best way to make the 4 point. Blue can still win after hitting without making the 4 if White doesn't spring a guy--it picks up some swings on White's 15 and 25, although it takes away the horror rolls of 55 and 66.

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