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OLM Yawnday -- $ game rollout

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 14 September 2008, at 6:50 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube (Stick)

Gnubg 2-, 3- and 4-ply underestimate the strength of White's game here.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: White on roll, cube decision?

White	125
Blue	127
Position ID: ZrsDIEjZNoMBJA Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5290
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8613
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1387
3.	No double	+0.6810	-0.1802
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6617 0.3297 0.0132 - 0.3383 0.1277 0.0095 +0.5290 +0.6810 Standard error 0.0035 0.0042 0.0027 - 0.0035 0.0036 0.0009 0.0104 0.0263 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6675 0.3327 0.0093 - 0.3325 0.1178 0.0095 +1.0995 +0.8613 Standard error 0.0051 0.0060 0.0030 - 0.0051 0.0038 0.0011 0.0300 0.0530
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
216 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 837101776 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

2-ply cubeless equity +0.4744
0.6433 0.3230 0.0176 - 0.3567 0.1414 0.0113
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.7067
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.2933)
3. No double +0.6117 ( -0.0950)
Proper cube action: Double, take

3-ply cubeless equity +0.5228
0.6568 0.3380 0.0195 - 0.3432 0.1377 0.0107
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.8079
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.1921)
3. No double +0.6498 ( -0.1581)
Proper cube action: Double, take

4-ply cubeless equity +0.4646
0.6422 0.3186 0.0162 - 0.3578 0.1413 0.0133
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.6879
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.3121)
3. No double +0.6027 ( -0.0852)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
  Stick -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 3:24 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    John Little -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 4:01 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 4:14 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 4:24 p.m.
    • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
      pontiac -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 5:17 p.m.
      • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
        Mislav Radica -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 5:50 p.m.
        • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
          pontiac -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 6:18 p.m.
          • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 14 September 2008, at 1:49 a.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    Havard Raddum -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 5:35 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 5:36 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    Mislav Radica -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 5:45 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    Caryl Stephanson -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 6:14 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday Sept. 13th - Cube
    Coolrey -- Saturday, 13 September 2008, at 10:43 p.m.
  • OLM Yawnday -- $ game rollout
    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 14 September 2008, at 6:50 p.m.