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BGonline.org Forums
2-Ply rollout
Posted By: adambulldog In Response To: -4, -2: 31P 54D, Cube? (adambulldog)
Date: Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 1:25 a.m.
Here is the 2-ply rollout. I'm not sure how the truncation effects the rollout, and I don't know how to import a new MET into gnu. Gnu 15 is the best solution for me, I think--version 16 is not stable on my machine and does some weird stuff--
I guess the only thing I have learned during this exercise is that I still think a drop is at least reasonably close to OK--
Cube analysis Rollout cubeless MWC 33.34% (Money: +0.247)
Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass 39.70% 2. Double, take 39.82% ( 0.13%) 3. No double 38.20% ( -1.50%) Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details: Centered 1-cube: 0.588 0.196 0.010 - 0.412 0.129 0.007 CL 33.34% CF 38.20% [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 CL 0.07% CF 0.04%] Player Phineas Fogg owns 2-cube: 0.594 0.202 0.010 - 0.406 0.131 0.007 CL 39.82% CF 39.82% [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 CL 0.05% CF 0.05%] Truncated cubeful rollout (depth 11) with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 838494589 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 2 0-ply moves and up to 3 more moves within equity 0.1 keep the first 0 1-ply moves Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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