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Advanced Backgammon #33 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 19 September 2008, at 5:22 p.m.

In Response To: Advanced Backgammon #33 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Move number 7: Blue to play 61

White	103
Blue	102
Position ID: G3uRAQi46w4DAA Match ID: QQkHAAAAAAAA

• Blue moves 12/6 7/6

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	12/6 7/6	+0.5187
			0.7749 0.0594 0.0011 - 0.2251 0.0083 0.0002 +0.6017 +0.5187 0.0010 0.0015 0.0001 - 0.0010 0.0005 0.0001 0.0023 0.0029
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836807529 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	12/6 4/3*	+0.4860 ( -0.0327)
			0.7641 0.1140 0.0025 - 0.2359 0.0686 0.0011 +0.5751 +0.4860 0.0013 0.0019 0.0002 - 0.0013 0.0013 0.0001 0.0033 0.0046
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836807529 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	12/11 12/6	+0.4567 ( -0.0620)
			0.7497 0.0538 0.0017 - 0.2503 0.0067 0.0001 +0.5481 +0.4567 0.0016 0.0025 0.0006 - 0.0016 0.0009 0.0000 0.0040 0.0050
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			475 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836807529 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

And at DMP:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 6: Blue to play 31

White	103
Blue	99
Position ID: G3uRAQjY7R0CAA Match ID: QYklAAAAAAAA

• Blue moves 7/6 7/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	7/6 7/4	+0.5470
			0.7735 0.1551 0.0045 - 0.2265 0.0193 0.0001 +0.5470 +0.5470 0.0011 0.0076 0.0013 - 0.0011 0.0025 0.0000 0.0022 0.0022
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836807529 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	7/3*	+0.5290 ( -0.0180)
			0.7645 0.2118 0.0116 - 0.2355 0.1043 0.0038 +0.5290 +0.5290 0.0014 0.0089 0.0022 - 0.0014 0.0052 0.0014 0.0027 0.0027
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836807529 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Advanced Backgammon #33
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 5:11 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33
    dc-ohio -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 5:30 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33
    Keene -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 5:59 p.m.
    • Advanced Backgammon #33
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 8:17 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33
    pontiac -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 6:11 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 6:53 p.m.
    • Advanced Backgammon #33
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 7:43 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33
    Philippe Michel -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 8:12 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 10:53 p.m.
    • Advanced Backgammon #33
      Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 17 September 2008, at 11:08 p.m.
  • Bonus Q
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 18 September 2008, at 7:05 a.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33 ANALYSIS
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 19 September 2008, at 5:20 p.m.
  • Advanced Backgammon #33 ROLLOUT
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 19 September 2008, at 5:22 p.m.