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1st roll: 64: -2, -1 Post-Crawford?

Posted By: bob koca
Date: Wednesday, 24 September 2008, at 2:17 a.m.

In Response To: 1st roll: 64: -2, -1 Post-Crawford? (Matt Cohn-Geier)

24/18 13/9 is up 2.8 jsd. I am surprsied how much better it is than the other two plays. I will extend it a bit still just to confirm for myself that 24/14 is worst. TCTC now for 2nd.

1. Rollout 24/18 13/9 MWC: 48.89729%

0.504822 0.157245 0.019506 - 0.495178 0.163573 0.023265 CL 28.85767% CF 48.89729%

[0.001318 0.002385 0.001498 - 0.001318 0.002566 0.001875 CL 0.07479% CF 0.13104%]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

4251 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 838187696 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 72 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2. Rollout 8/2 6/2 MWC: 48.47990% ( -0.41739%)

0.496758 0.173174 0.012703 - 0.503242 0.156777 0.018689 CL 30.38034% CF 48.47990%

[0.000697 0.002104 0.000779 - 0.000697 0.001833 0.001371 CL 0.05360% CF 0.06907%]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

4250 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 838187696 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 72 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3. Rollout 24/14 MWC: 48.39896% ( -0.49833%)

0.501399 0.139823 0.012126 - 0.498601 0.146259 0.012909 CL 28.64264% CF 48.39896%

[0.000958 0.002353 0.001018 - 0.000958 0.002341 0.001113 CL 0.06191% CF 0.09585%]

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.

4249 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 838187696 and quasi-random dice

Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.1 (min. 72 games)

Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16

Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.

Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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