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Free drop at GS

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Saturday, 27 September 2008, at 3:53 p.m.

In Response To: Free drop at GS (Daniel Murphy)

Perhaps they are, for all in tents and porpoises. Addressing the question directly might be worthwhile, instead of assuming that -1,-4 post-Crawford and -1,-2 Crawford game breakdowns are identical to the fourth decimal place.

OK, let me make it explicit then: in my opinion, the W/G/L breakdown at -1, -4 is equivalent to -1, -2 to the 4th decimal place. The MWC/EMG will be different, of course.

But a -1,-4 rollout underway has me divining that the difference if any won't be revealed by 15K trials.

Good luck. I think you will need at least 150K trials to try to get significance.

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