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Free drop at GS

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Saturday, 27 September 2008, at 4:19 p.m.

In Response To: Free drop at GS (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Good luck. I think you will need at least 150K trials to try to get significance.

Could be, since 46K trial rollouts for opening plays have SDs of 0.0025 or so.

In the clarity of dawn's early light, I'm glad we've agreed that the fact that an opening play wins less than 50% of the time at the score 1-away 2-away Crawford does not mean that the leader should then drop a double when leading 1-away 4-away post-Crawford.

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