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Rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 29 September 2008, at 4:14 p.m.

In Response To: Cube from LC Semis in Denver (neilkaz)

My opp took rather quickly while I felt that it was technically a pass. I pointed on he ace pt with 31 and he jokered me with 32 and my dance marathon started. Fortunately I never had to face any recube decisions along the way and after missing three for shots and getting a 2nd checker it, my opp played overly safely in the bearoff and I mananed to save G and won the next two games to take the match.

The score (after 0 games) is: Semis Opponent 2, Last Chance Luck Box 2 (match to 5 points)

Move number 4: Last Chance Luck Box on roll, cube decision?

Semis Opponent	101
Last Chance Luck Box	110
Position ID: 7mwDAyDabYEFBA Match ID: cAmgACAAEAAA

• Last Chance Luck Box doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.543	(Money: +0.487)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.036	+0.036
3.	No double	+0.697	-0.303
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.693 0.194 0.013 - 0.307 0.100 0.005 +0.543 +0.697 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.007 Player Semis Opponent owns 2-cube 0.704 0.192 0.029 - 0.296 0.117 0.011 +1.289 +1.036 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.003 - 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.010 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 838121996 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Cube from LC Semis in Denver
  neilkaz -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 3:04 a.m.
  • Cube from LC Semis in Denver
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 4:02 a.m.
    • Cube from LC Semis in Denver
      Stick -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 4:42 a.m.
      • Cube from LC Semis in Denver
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 5:23 a.m.
      • Cube from LC Semis in Denver
        Coolrey -- Wednesday, 1 October 2008, at 7:54 p.m.
    • OTB
      neilkaz -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 6:12 a.m.
      • OTB
        Neil Robins -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 6:20 a.m.
        • OTB
          Stick -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 6:26 a.m.
          • OTB
            Neil Robins -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 6:58 a.m.
            • OTB
              Neil Robins -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 8:44 a.m.
      • OTB
        David Rockwell -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 12:16 p.m.
        • Upon further reflection
          David Rockwell -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 2:20 p.m.
  • Cube from LC Semis in Denver
    pontiac -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 11:02 a.m.
  • Cube from LC Semis in Denver
    Keene -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 3:23 p.m.
  • Rollout etc
    neilkaz -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 4:14 p.m.