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Denver match score rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 29 September 2008, at 4:19 p.m.

In Response To: Denver match score cube action (neilkaz)

I was rather sure this was a technical cube and while there's not a chance of getting a pass here, I didn't mind playing from here. I cubed and rolled 65 and played two down (seems more gammonish to me) and my opp rolled 62 and slotted his 5 pt. I missed that, followed by missing 3 more direct shots, followed by missing 2 double shots, followed by missing 3 single shots finall getting closed out. This was comical in a tragic way as Stepan was rolling almost his worst shot each turn and I missed a total of 7 directs and 2 double shots in 9 rolls.

Fortunately I rolled much better on Sunday.

The score (after 0 games) is: Stepan Nuniyants 9, Loserkaz 6 (match to 11 points)

Move number 4: Loserkaz on roll, cube decision?

Stepan Nuniyants	151
Loserkaz	153
Position ID: Zk7wATDGNvABMA Match ID: cAlgAZAAMAAA

• Loserkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.336	(Money: +0.173)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.608
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.392
3.	No double	+0.593	-0.016
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.581 0.203 0.010 - 0.419 0.174 0.028 +0.336 +0.593 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.005 0.003 0.007 0.010 Player Stepan Nuniyants owns 2-cube 0.588 0.199 0.010 - 0.412 0.182 0.034 +0.608 +0.608 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.006 0.004 0.012 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1238 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 838127720 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
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Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Denver match score cube action
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 28 September 2008, at 1:47 a.m.
  • Denver match score cube action
    garyo -- Sunday, 28 September 2008, at 2:23 a.m.
    • Denver match score cube action
      likesbg -- Sunday, 28 September 2008, at 5:01 a.m.
  • Denver match score cube action
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 28 September 2008, at 6:48 a.m.
  • Denver match score cube action
    Neil Robins -- Sunday, 28 September 2008, at 8:46 a.m.
  • Denver match score rollout
    neilkaz -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 4:19 p.m.
    • Denver match score rollout
      Stick -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 5:41 p.m.
      • Denver match score rollout
        Coolrey -- Wednesday, 1 October 2008, at 8:08 p.m.
        • Denver match score rollout
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 1 October 2008, at 8:13 p.m.
          • Denver match score rollout
            Stick -- Wednesday, 1 October 2008, at 8:33 p.m.
            • Denver match score rollout
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 1 October 2008, at 8:40 p.m.
    • Denver -- D/T .. 6-5 .. 6-2
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 9:12 p.m.
      • Denver -- D/T .. 6-5 .. 6-2
        Stick -- Monday, 29 September 2008, at 9:20 p.m.