More or less what everyone thought. Rollout according to score (my takepoint being a bit higher at this score and I have less recube vig) may change it to a small pass. OTB I thought this was a bare take for money and of course was clueless for match play as I often am ;) It's basically an even race, so if I escape soon I'm right back in it. Another thing that bothered me is I wasn't sure if Claude would know when/if too hit loose on the ace point. If I know for certain he doesn't hit loose when he's supposed to, I'd take. I passed because I felt I was the stronger player and I didn't feel like giving up 2 free points in a position that may not have any possibilities to misplay anything. Even if I escape and he just bears in, it's a straight race where the dice decide and we're even money. I wanted to press my luck in another game. (he doesn't always cover the blot either...which had me wanting to take, but I talked myself out of it..and am ok w/that)
| 72 |                          |
| 76 | |
| Board image courtesy of GO-Figure | |
| Cube action equity | |||
| Rollout | Money equity: | 0.552 | |
| 0.0% 2.5% 76.8% 23.2% 0.9% 0.0% | |||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.552 ą0.004, - live cube no double: 0.706 ą0.007, - live cube double take: 0.979 ą0.011. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 197606 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database. | |||
| Evaluations | |||
| 1. | Double, take | 0.962 | |
| 2. | No double | 0.694 | (-0.268) |
| 3. | Double, pass | 1.000 | (+0.038) |
| Proper cube action: Double, take | |||
| Live cube | |||
| 1. | Double, take | 0.979 | |
| 2. | No double | 0.706 | (-0.273) |
| 3. | Double, pass | 1.000 | (+0.021) |
| Proper cube action: Double, take | |||