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My Snowie agrees

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 24 February 2007, at 5:53 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Stick)

I Snowie'd it as well, wanting to make sure that my opinion to hop over those builders on the 5 and 6 pts and into the stripped outfield was correct.

1. R bar/18 Eq.: -0.498

0.3% 6.3% 39.5% 60.5% 24.1% 0.2%

Live cube rollout: -0.457

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: -0.387 ±0.012,

- live cube: -0.457 ±0.025.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

1440 games (equiv. 40910 games),

played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,

settlement 0.550 at 16 pts,

random seed, with race database.

2. R bar/23 13/8 Eq.: -0.546 (-0.049)

0.5% 8.3% 38.9% 61.1% 27.7% 0.2%

Live cube rollout: -0.520

95% confidence interval:

- money cubeless eq.: -0.414 ±0.011,

- live cube: -0.520 ±0.021.

Rollout settings:

Full rollout,

1440 games (equiv. 47824 games),

played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,

settlement 0.550 at 16 pts,

random seed, with race database.

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