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What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 5:35 p.m.

In Response To: What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch (Bill Riles)

Here I don't mind waiting as much. I would have a slight pref to cube this playing norm, but I don't mind either way.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 6, Blue 5 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: Blue to play 32

White	100
Blue	126
Position ID: 29kBAQyYuwcDBA Match ID: UYlpAWAAKAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3512	(Money: +0.3424)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7251
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2749
3.	No double	+0.7160	-0.0091
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6548 0.0969 0.0054 - 0.3452 0.0686 0.0010 +0.3512 +0.7160 Standard error 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 - 0.0006 0.0010 0.0003 0.0014 0.0025 Player White owns 4-cube 0.6638 0.0990 0.0100 - 0.3362 0.0821 0.0022 +0.8235 +0.7251 Standard error 0.0006 0.0009 0.0009 - 0.0006 0.0016 0.0005 0.0033 0.0035
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
6445 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836694243 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch
  Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 12:13 a.m.
  • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch -- OTB
    Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 12:36 a.m.
    • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch -- OTB
      Stick -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 1:33 a.m.
    • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch -- OTB
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 3:08 a.m.
    • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch -- OTB
      Coolrey -- Wednesday, 1 October 2008, at 7:38 p.m.
  • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 2:19 a.m.
  • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch
    Keene -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 2:42 p.m.
    • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 2:45 p.m.
      • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch
        Keene -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 3:56 p.m.
        • if one never made an error
          garyo -- Thursday, 2 October 2008, at 4:40 p.m.
    • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 30 September 2008, at 8:44 p.m.
  • What Can Go Wrong From Here? -- Ouch Rollout
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 5:35 p.m.