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BGonline.org Forums
Re: Is this obvious?
Posted By: Chase In Response To: Is this obvious? (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 27 February 2007, at 4:10 p.m.
Well, the answer to the thread title is no, this isn't obvious. I won't extend this, as it could take many trials to determine which play is best. Pretty safe to say that neither is a blunder--at worst, probably a smallish error.
The score (after 0 games) is: North 0, South 0
Move number 6: South to play 52
North 129
South 130 Position ID: mLsLAxCzOcIBSA Match ID: cIkKAAAAAAAA
• South moves bar/20 4/2*
Alert: bad move ( -0.001)
Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.300)
# Ply Move Equity 1 R bar/20 13/11 -0.771
31.3% 12.3% 0.5% - 68.7% 23.8% 1.8% -0.501 -0.771 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% - 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.004 0.013 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1019837143 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R bar/20 4/2* -0.773 ( -0.001)
33.4% 14.7% 0.3% - 66.6% 29.3% 3.6% -0.511 -0.773 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% - 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.004 0.012 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1019837143 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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