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Re: Is this obvious?

Posted By: Chase
Date: Tuesday, 27 February 2007, at 4:10 p.m.

In Response To: Is this obvious? (Stick)

Well, the answer to the thread title is no, this isn't obvious. I won't extend this, as it could take many trials to determine which play is best. Pretty safe to say that neither is a blunder--at worst, probably a smallish error.

The score (after 0 games) is: North 0, South 0

Move number 6: South to play 52

North129


 '1O '2X '3X3X3X1X ' '3O

2O1X2O2O '3O ' '1O ' '2X

South130

Position ID: mLsLAxCzOcIBSA Match ID: cIkKAAAAAAAA

• South moves bar/20 4/2*

Alert: bad move ( -0.001)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.300)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/20 13/11 -0.771
31.3% 12.3% 0.5%- 68.7% 23.8% 1.8% -0.501 -0.771
0.2% 0.1% 0.0%- 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.004 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1019837143 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/20 4/2* -0.773 ( -0.001)
33.4% 14.7% 0.3%- 66.6% 29.3% 3.6% -0.511 -0.773
0.2% 0.1% 0.0%- 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.004 0.012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1019837143 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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