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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Peoria 8 cube (Stick)
Date: Friday, 24 October 2008, at 5:40 p.m.
A practical double against almost any opponent needing a small % of drops to make it correct. I wasn't dropping for many reasons, as Ray mentioned, the biggest that he couldn't have known is once upon a year when I started playing bg I dropped a very similar (believe it or not) position v. Paul Weaver. It won't happen again.
The score (after 0 games) is: user 0, gnubg 2 (match to 11 points)
user 153
gnubg 158 Position ID: zM5gDGC2DaSAIw Match ID: AgFgAQAAEAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.240 (Money: +0.294) Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.621 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.379 3. Double, take +0.599 -0.022 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (5.6%) Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player user owns 4-cube 0.559 0.318 0.036 - 0.441 0.157 0.021 +0.240 +0.621 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.004 0.006 Player gnubg owns 8-cube 0.561 0.320 0.042 - 0.439 0.167 0.034 +0.637 +0.599 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.006 0.007 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3055 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 836537082 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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