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Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Stick vs Neil...recube action ? (neilkaz)
Date: Monday, 27 October 2008, at 11:01 p.m.
I hit the shot Neil left after a push sequence and had a play on. He then entered with a nice 21 to hit & cover. Now was the time to put him to the test. GNU thought the T/P decision on 2 ply was a lot closer if I remember right. Neil correctly dropped, too many numbers that come in and make the prime or come in and hit loose for me.
The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 0, neilkaz 0 (match to 9 points)
Move number 37: Stick on roll, cube decision?
Stick 113
neilkaz 59 Position ID: 32cGACC2bUUARA Match ID: AQEgAQAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.563 (Money: +0.560) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.000 2. Double, take +1.186 +0.186 3. No double +0.751 -0.249 Proper cube action: Redouble, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.758 0.167 0.004 - 0.242 0.126 0.001 +0.563 +0.751 Standard error 0.002 0.004 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.005 0.007 Player neilkaz owns 4-cube 0.779 0.168 0.006 - 0.221 0.129 0.005 +1.279 +1.186 Standard error 0.002 0.004 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.014 0.013 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808323011 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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