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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 29 October 2008, at 7:46 a.m.

In Response To: Turn & Burn (Stick)

I found this interesting and OtB I did double and my opponent did pass. The first thing to realize is that you're not even Ray '26 from the bar' Fogerlund's TG arena. It's a bit deceptive, gammons are high but realizing your win % is so low is the key. Once I figured out I wasn't TG I doubled and let him figure the rest of it out. He passed quickly, as I believe almost everyone would, but damn it's close.

The score (after 0 games) is: user 2, gnubg 1 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

user	136
gnubg	104
Position ID: zN4GgELbWBcQIA Match ID: UQlgASAACAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5910	(Money: +0.5643)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0198	+0.0198
3.	No double	+0.7358	-0.2642
Proper cube action:		Redouble, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player gnubg owns 2-cube 0.6333 0.3749 0.0137 - 0.3667 0.0859 0.0050 +0.5910 +0.7358 Standard error 0.0014 0.0019 0.0009 - 0.0014 0.0014 0.0004 0.0040 0.0058 Player user owns 4-cube 0.6377 0.3832 0.0100 - 0.3623 0.0767 0.0079 +1.2938 +1.0198 Standard error 0.0016 0.0030 0.0010 - 0.0016 0.0016 0.0013 0.0092 0.0119
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 835406777 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Turn & Burn
  Stick -- Tuesday, 28 October 2008, at 7:45 a.m.
  • Turn & Burn
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 28 October 2008, at 9:51 a.m.
  • Turn & Burn
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 October 2008, at 9:57 a.m.
  • Turn & Burn
    Keene -- Tuesday, 28 October 2008, at 2:13 p.m.
  • Turn & Burn
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 28 October 2008, at 3:31 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 29 October 2008, at 7:46 a.m.