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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Stick Fubars Move 3? - 43D-52S-62? (Stick)
Date: Wednesday, 29 October 2008, at 7:52 a.m.
I couldn't agree with GNU more. From my recent match with Neil it's my fault I made such a shitty play. GNU 2 ply dings me .08 and though it came down a little (this is a match separate rollout since it's a 3rd roll I'd want to keep) the correct play is clear. When playing online I briefly looked, saw I could make the 4pt & leave a direct shot or make the bar point & leave indirects. I neither bothered counting shots or lingering on it too much. The extra shots left are minimal by making the 4pt, the 4pt is obviously the better point, and the distribution and threats are vastly superior if I make the 4. Varnick.
gnubg 160
user 160 Position ID: 4PPgASTgc8UBMA Match ID: cAkZAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 10/4 6/4 +0.1331
0.5256 0.1674 0.0058 - 0.4744 0.1219 0.0063 +0.0962 +0.1331 0.0010 0.0011 0.0003 - 0.0010 0.0010 0.0003 0.0025 0.0077 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3337 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808301744 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 13/7 9/7 +0.0822 ( -0.0509)
0.5160 0.1525 0.0061 - 0.4840 0.1295 0.0066 +0.0545 +0.0822 0.0010 0.0011 0.0003 - 0.0010 0.0011 0.0003 0.0025 0.0067 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3335 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808301744 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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