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BGonline.org Forums
Lost my market ?
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Lost my market ? (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Wednesday, 29 October 2008, at 10:54 p.m.
+200 ELO corresponds to about 54% at DMP, which I think is a good estimate here for me vs him.
With equal players the 32% figure comes from 14% G's.
Lets assume my opp only G's me 13% of the time...so he wins a plain game 33% and I win 54%.
13% +(33%x46%)= 28.2% so you see why I didn't cube him prior to my 22 !
Also to be considered is whether this game, after he takes and we play DMP is more or less complicated than a new game ?...ie he has 28.2% ME if he passes, but can he win this position 28.2% or more vs me ?
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