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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Stick v. Neil - Game 2 - Cube Action? (Stick)
Date: Friday, 31 October 2008, at 3:54 a.m.
GNU 2 ply had this as a monster take, .14 blunder if passed. It quickly changed its tune. I will probably roll this out some more before distributing the file. With me being up in the match and Neil's gammon value on a 2 cube being slightly augmented I believe it makes this what I'd call mundane money take into a borderline decision. OtB I scooped.
The score (after 1 game) is: Stick 2, neilkaz 0 (match to 9 points)
Stick 130
neilkaz 146 Position ID: 2cwxAQzY5sgEAw Match ID: cAkgASAAAAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5282 (Money: +0.5139) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9912 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0088 3. No double +0.8647 -0.1264 Proper cube action: Double, take Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7103 0.1494 0.0049 - 0.2897 0.0579 0.0030 +0.5282 +0.8647 Standard error 0.0021 0.0025 0.0005 - 0.0021 0.0015 0.0009 0.0057 0.0126 Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.7224 0.1614 0.0079 - 0.2776 0.0652 0.0022 +1.1399 +0.9912 Standard error 0.0028 0.0035 0.0008 - 0.0028 0.0029 0.0013 0.0152 0.0171 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 541 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808142517 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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