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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 31 October 2008, at 3:54 a.m.

In Response To: Stick v. Neil - Game 2 - Cube Action? (Stick)

GNU 2 ply had this as a monster take, .14 blunder if passed. It quickly changed its tune. I will probably roll this out some more before distributing the file. With me being up in the match and Neil's gammon value on a 2 cube being slightly augmented I believe it makes this what I'd call mundane money take into a borderline decision. OtB I scooped.

The score (after 1 game) is: Stick 2, neilkaz 0 (match to 9 points)

Stick130


1X '2X2X2O2X '3X '1O2X2O

 ' '2X2O2O2O '3O ' '1O1X

neilkaz146

Position ID: 2cwxAQzY5sgEAw Match ID: cAkgASAAAAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5282(Money: +0.5139)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.9912
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0088
3.No double +0.8647 -0.1264
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.71030.14940.0049-0.28970.05790.0030 +0.5282 +0.8647
Standard error0.00210.00250.0005-0.00210.00150.0009 0.0057 0.0126
Player Stick owns 2-cube0.72240.16140.0079-0.27760.06520.0022 +1.1399 +0.9912
Standard error0.00280.00350.0008-0.00280.00290.0013 0.0152 0.0171
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
541 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808142517 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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