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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 2 November 2008, at 10:45 p.m.

In Response To: Stick v. Neil - Game 3 - Cube (Stick)

The score (after 2 games) is: Stick 2, neilkaz 4 (match to 9 points)

Move number 9: Stick on roll, cube decision?

Stick154


1O1O ' ' '5X2X3X '1X1X4O

1X1O '1X1X5O '3O ' ' ' '

neilkaz155

Position ID: wufgASjg2ymAIg Match ID: MAEgASAAIAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4104(Money: +0.3805)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.7368
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.2632
3.No double +0.6885 -0.0483
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.62370.22410.0100-0.37630.09450.0065 +0.4104 +0.6885
Standard error0.00210.00250.0010-0.00210.00200.0013 0.0061 0.0136
Player neilkaz owns 2-cube0.63140.22490.0098-0.36860.09180.0077 +0.9194 +0.7368
Standard error0.00230.00290.0011-0.00230.00230.0020 0.0128 0.0153
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
929 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808142517 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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