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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Stick v. Neil - Game 4 - Cube (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 4 November 2008, at 7:11 a.m.
I was hoping Neil would take a roll here, he didn't.
The score (after 3 games) is: Stick 4, neilkaz 4 (match to 9 points)
Move number 19: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?
Stick 118
neilkaz 106 Position ID: 2ryBA0DWNjMCAg Match ID: cAkgAUAAIAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.8424 (Money: +0.8483) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.6898 +0.6898 3. No double +0.9246 -0.0754 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7834 0.3377 0.0037 - 0.2166 0.0569 0.0031 +0.8424 +0.9246 Standard error 0.0041 0.0084 0.0009 - 0.0041 0.0033 0.0003 0.0115 0.0188 Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.7867 0.3537 0.0027 - 0.2133 0.0573 0.0031 +1.8541 +1.6898 Standard error 0.0057 0.0096 0.0011 - 0.0057 0.0040 0.0010 0.0314 0.0352 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 109 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808323011 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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