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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 6:00 a.m.

In Response To: Stick v. Neil - Game 6 - Cube (Stick)

There's only one way to follow up my genius 52 play and that's to take the immediate ship.

The score (after 5 games) is: Stick 6, neilkaz 5 (match to 9 points)

Move number 10: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Stick148


 ' ' '3X '3X1O4X ' ' '2O

1X1X ' ' '5O2O4O '1O '3X

neilkaz130

Position ID: OOfBASjg2xODAA Match ID: cAkgAWAAKAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.4928(Money: +0.4524)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0742 +0.0742
3.No double +0.8366 -0.1634
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.68370.15600.0072-0.31630.07390.0043 +0.4928 +0.8366
Standard error0.00140.00220.0011-0.00140.00220.0010 0.0046 0.0088
Player Stick owns 2-cube0.69260.15600.0133-0.30740.07340.0066 +1.2548 +1.0742
Standard error0.00180.00240.0018-0.00180.00250.0021 0.0115 0.0130
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1106 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808142517 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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