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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Stick v. Neil - Game 6 - Cube (Stick)
Date: Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 6:00 a.m.
There's only one way to follow up my genius 52 play and that's to take the immediate ship.
The score (after 5 games) is: Stick 6, neilkaz 5 (match to 9 points)
Move number 10: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?
Stick 148
neilkaz 130 Position ID: OOfBASjg2xODAA Match ID: cAkgAWAAKAAA
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4928 (Money: +0.4524) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.0742 +0.0742 3. No double +0.8366 -0.1634 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6837 0.1560 0.0072 - 0.3163 0.0739 0.0043 +0.4928 +0.8366 Standard error 0.0014 0.0022 0.0011 - 0.0014 0.0022 0.0010 0.0046 0.0088 Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.6926 0.1560 0.0133 - 0.3074 0.0734 0.0066 +1.2548 +1.0742 Standard error 0.0018 0.0024 0.0018 - 0.0018 0.0025 0.0021 0.0115 0.0130 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1106 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 808142517 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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