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a couple of rollouts of my own

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 8:49 a.m.

In Response To: a couple of rollouts of my own (rew)

36% seems high. 2-ply analysis is off the wall here with almost 50% (par for the course).

What is the standard error on this? I would still take but I doubt you win 36%. I am not sure whether or not 30% is still too high but I do think you win over 25% here.

Messages In This Thread

• Estimate winning chances
  rew -- Monday, 3 November 2008, at 8:56 p.m.
  • Estimate winning chances
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 3 November 2008, at 9:00 p.m.
  • Estimate winning chances
    Stick -- Monday, 3 November 2008, at 9:15 p.m.
    • Estimate winning chances
      rew -- Monday, 3 November 2008, at 9:23 p.m.
      • Estimate winning chances
        Stick -- Monday, 3 November 2008, at 9:35 p.m.
  • Couple Rollouts
    Stick -- Tuesday, 4 November 2008, at 6:05 a.m.
    • Couple Rollouts
      rew -- Tuesday, 4 November 2008, at 12:35 p.m.
      • Couple Rollouts
        rew -- Tuesday, 4 November 2008, at 2:52 p.m.
        • a couple of rollouts of my own
          rew -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 8:33 a.m.
          • a couple of rollouts of my own
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 8:49 a.m.
          • Snowie 4's 3ply play
            rew -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 9:08 a.m.
            • Couple more Rollouts
              Stick -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 10:05 a.m.
              • Couple more Rollouts
                rew -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 12:02 p.m.
                • Couple more Rollouts
                  Stick -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 7:49 p.m.
                  • Couple more Rollouts
                    rew -- Thursday, 6 November 2008, at 10:50 a.m.
                • Couple more Rollouts
                  Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 5 November 2008, at 8:54 p.m.