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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 9 November 2008, at 7:22 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Bob Koca)

Here is an example where Stick's interpretation would send you wrong...

I assuming you're referring to stopping a rollout the moment it hits 3 JSDs which is why I added the kicker of 324 trials as a minimum in my original post. If it's post 324 trials and it stops at 3 JSDs then you're correct of course. I'm too lazy to look up Bayesian statistics, I was a French major and understand it enough for my needs je crois. This is a reason for my projects I tell people at least 3 JSDs at intervals of 1296 trials so that they don't stop the rollout the second they see the magic 3, they're forced to go an extra X number of trials.

Stick

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