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Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Monday, 10 November 2008, at 10:56 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (adambulldog)

MWC tends to tell you more about when the error occurred rather than how big it is.

You can horribly mess up a decision at Crawford, 20-away, and it'll cost you a hundredth of a fraction of a percent in winning chances. Make the same mistake at DMP and it'll cost you 15% MWC.

However, EMG can be problematic sometimes, esp. on take/pass decisions, I think. But it tends to be a relatively good normalization for indicating how big of an error you actually made or didn't make.

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