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Rollout (longer)

Posted By: Keene
Date: Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 3:19 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (adambulldog)

Still not the greatest cube ever, but certainly not as far away as the short rollout indicated. Just the half whopper. (Junior)

The score (after 0 games) is: white 1, blue 1 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: white on roll, cube decision?

white	149
blue	146
Position ID: 4LuDASJw58gBBg Match ID: MAHgABAACAAA

• white doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.056)! [doubtful]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.414	(Money: +0.398)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.668
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.332
3.	Double, take	+0.612	-0.056
Proper cube action:		No double, take (14.4%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.638 0.201 0.010 - 0.362 0.082 0.006 +0.414 +0.668 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.003 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.006 0.012 Player blue owns 2-cube 0.644 0.199 0.009 - 0.356 0.077 0.008 +0.917 +0.612 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.003 - 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.013 0.015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809397726 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
  adambulldog -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:00 p.m.
  • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
    pontiac -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:07 p.m.
    • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
      Bill Riles -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:11 p.m.
  • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:08 p.m.
  • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
    neilkaz -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:23 p.m.
  • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
    Stick -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:41 p.m.
  • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
    Keene -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 9:57 p.m.
    • Early Game Cube Action vs. Kilted Keene
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 11:00 p.m.
  • Rollout
    adambulldog -- Monday, 10 November 2008, at 11:58 p.m.
    • Rollout (longer)
      Keene -- Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 3:19 p.m.
      • Rollout (longer)
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 12 November 2008, at 6:05 p.m.