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LV Cube #2 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 16 November 2008, at 7:26 a.m.

In Response To: LV Cube #2 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 7, Blue 5 (match to 15 points)

Move number 9: White on roll, cube decision?

White	152
Blue	154
Position ID: jOfgATCwZ8oBBg Match ID: MAHgAXAAKAAA

• White doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0440)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4807	(Money: +0.4790)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.7355
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2645
3.	Double, take	+0.6915	-0.0440
Proper cube action:		No double, take (14.3%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6638 0.2157 0.0077 - 0.3362 0.0696 0.0023 +0.4807 +0.7355 Standard error 0.0012 0.0018 0.0005 - 0.0012 0.0009 0.0002 0.0029 0.0083 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6661 0.2205 0.0074 - 0.3339 0.0668 0.0026 +1.0288 +0.6915 Standard error 0.0014 0.0021 0.0006 - 0.0014 0.0010 0.0003 0.0072 0.0113
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1984 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 3164996198 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LV Cube #2
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 14 November 2008, at 9:30 p.m.
  • LV Cube #2
    pontiac -- Friday, 14 November 2008, at 10:51 p.m.
  • LV Cube #2
    neilkaz -- Friday, 14 November 2008, at 11:09 p.m.
  • LV Cube #2
    Chris Knapp -- Saturday, 15 November 2008, at 12:58 a.m.
  • LV Cube #2
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 15 November 2008, at 10:48 p.m.
  • LV Cube #2
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 16 November 2008, at 7:25 a.m.
    • LV Cube #2 ROLLOUT
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 16 November 2008, at 7:26 a.m.
      • LV Cube #2 ROLLOUT
        neilkaz -- Sunday, 16 November 2008, at 5:13 p.m.