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Scary GoB Cube Action

Posted By: adambulldog
Date: Sunday, 16 November 2008, at 3:13 p.m.

In Response To: Scary GoB Cube Action (adambulldog)

I noticed that the move filter was screwed up 6 rolls into the rollout. I quickly changed the filter back to the Stick-approved settings but the display apparently shows the settings at the onset of the rollout. I think the rollout is still valid, though, since it reached a conclusion (3 jstds) rather quickly.

The score (after 2 games) is: mochy 3, adambulldog 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 20: mochy on roll, cube decision?

mochy	138
adambulldog	172
Position ID: sHPiAExje8AAKQ Match ID: MAHgADAAAAAA

• mochy doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.230)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.514	(Money: +0.536)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.553
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.447
3.	Double, take	+0.323	-0.230
Proper cube action:		No double, take (34.0%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.602 0.369 0.055 - 0.398 0.086 0.004 +0.514 +0.553 Standard error 0.003 0.007 0.006 - 0.003 0.003 0.001 0.012 0.028 Player adambulldog owns 2-cube 0.599 0.405 0.131 - 0.401 0.084 0.011 +0.871 +0.323 Standard error 0.005 0.009 0.013 - 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.036 0.050
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
430 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809183633 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful
keep the first 2 0-ply moves and up to 3 more moves within equity 0.1
keep the first 0 1-ply moves
Cube: 2-ply cubeful

The score (after 2 games) is: mochy 3, adambulldog 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 20: mochy on roll, cube decision?

mochy	138
adambulldog	172
Position ID: sHPiAExje8AAKQ Match ID: MAHgADAAAAAA

• mochy doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -1.38%)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless MWC		73.61%	(Money: +0.536)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	73.84%
2.	Double, pass	76.51%	2.67%
3.	Double, take	72.46%	-1.38%
Proper cube action:		No double, take (34.0%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.602 0.369 0.055 - 0.398 0.086 0.004 73.61% 73.84% Standard error 0.003 0.007 0.006 - 0.003 0.003 0.001 0.07% 0.17% Player adambulldog owns 2-cube 0.599 0.405 0.131 - 0.401 0.084 0.011 75.74% 72.46% Standard error 0.005 0.009 0.013 - 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.21% 0.30%
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
430 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 809183633 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful
keep the first 2 0-ply moves and up to 3 more moves within equity 0.1
keep the first 0 1-ply moves
Cube: 2-ply cubeful

Messages In This Thread

• Scary GoB Cube Action
  adambulldog -- Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 1:12 a.m.
  • Scary GoB Cube Action
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 2:24 a.m.
    • Scary GoB Cube Action
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 3:30 a.m.
      • Scary GoB Cube Action
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 3:40 a.m.
  • Scary GoB Cube Action
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 11 November 2008, at 3:39 a.m.
  • Scary GoB Cube Action
    adambulldog -- Sunday, 16 November 2008, at 3:13 p.m.