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LV Round #3 Cube #1

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 4:39 a.m.

In Response To: LV Round #3 Cube #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

My worst blunder of the match. I took. What I saw was that the prime was stripped and I would probably have time to advance the anchor. What I should have done instead: stop thinking so much, smack myself, and just look at the position. Huge pass, almost TG.

Keene: Reminds me a little of the Stick vs Ray prop.

No kidding. I have little chances of going forward unless I make the 21 point. If I can make the 21 point it's an uneasy take, and I needn't do nearly that well.

The score (after 4 games) is: John O'Hagan 4, Matt Cohn-Geier 4 (match to 15 points)

Move number 12: John O'Hagan doubles to 2

John O'Hagan	164
Matt Cohn-Geier	173
Position ID: 4PPgADiwbeKACg Match ID: MBngAUAAIAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier accepts

Alert: wrong take ( -0.2802)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.6926	(Money: +0.6897)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.2802	+0.2802
3.	No double	+0.9781	-0.0219
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7493 0.2332 0.0145 - 0.2507 0.0546 0.0020 +0.6926 +0.9781 Standard error 0.0013 0.0019 0.0009 - 0.0013 0.0009 0.0005 0.0040 0.0087 Player Matt Cohn-Geier owns 2-cube 0.7593 0.2349 0.0190 - 0.2407 0.0478 0.0025 +1.4658 +1.2802 Standard error 0.0015 0.0021 0.0010 - 0.0015 0.0008 0.0002 0.0096 0.0118
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3917 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805444415 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.24 (min. 1296 games)
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LV Round #3 Cube #1
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 10:14 p.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 10:33 p.m.
    • LV Round #3 Cube #1
      rummer1973 -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 10:39 p.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    Keene -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 10:44 p.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    adambulldog -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 10:51 p.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    pontiac -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 10:53 p.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    neilkaz -- Monday, 17 November 2008, at 11:21 p.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    Mislav Radica -- Tuesday, 18 November 2008, at 12:33 a.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 18 November 2008, at 2:14 a.m.
  • LV Round #3 Cube #1
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 4:39 a.m.