BGonline.org Forums

Opening roll - post Crawford

Posted By: Coolrey
Date: Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 4:20 a.m.

In Response To: Opening roll - post Crawford (Sam Pottle)

At some point it becomes right, I guess, and that is a subject solved by Trice and Jacobs. If you do the right thing and take the above cube, at least you will have the bots on your side. Passing this cube leaves you down 7-3 and that is pretty bad even against a fishy. Especially since you know that what you are doing is mathematically incorrect.

With all due respect, and I have plenty for you and your game Sam, at some point you have to draw the line and do what experts know to do and take. I am no so good at estimating my ELO advantage, and even if I could, I didn't memorize Jakes chart. I MIGHT give up equity to this particular fish if I take this cube, but I KNOW I am giving up equity to the math gods if I don't. Which fate do you want to tempt? I only beat the fishies 70% anyway, and alot of that is because I know to take this redouble. I don't know that I can remember just how bad my opp has to be to pass this but I assume it will be an easy decision at that time. Otherwise, if I am hemming and hawing over this, I might just as well take... Or risk the ridicule of the bots and my peers!

I don't take 1.05 passes because my opponent doesn't play perfectly, I take them because humans don't play perfectly.

Therefore, 1.05 becomes, on average, perhaps 0.950 and anyone who passes LOSES equity. Your humble servant...

Messages In This Thread

• Opening roll - post Crawford
  David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 3:38 p.m.
  • Opening roll - post Crawford
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 3:47 p.m.
    • Opening roll - post Crawford
      David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 4:22 p.m.
      • Opening roll - post Crawford
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 4:39 p.m.
        • Opening roll - post Crawford
          Coolrey -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 11:24 p.m.
  • Opening roll - post Crawford
    Coolrey -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 11:09 p.m.
    • Opening roll - post Crawford
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 11:54 p.m.
      • Opening roll - post Crawford
        Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 12:59 a.m.
        • Opening roll - post Crawford
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:03 a.m.
          • Opening roll - post Crawford
            Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:08 a.m.
            • Opening roll - post Crawford
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:14 a.m.
              • Opening roll - post Crawford
                Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:52 a.m.
                • Opening roll - post Crawford
                  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 2:03 a.m.
                  • Opening roll - post Crawford
                    Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 2:46 a.m.
                    • Opening roll - post Crawford
                      neilkaz -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 2:57 a.m.
                    • Opening roll - post Crawford
                      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 2:57 a.m.
                      • Opening roll - post Crawford
                        Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:16 a.m.
                        • Opening roll - post Crawford
                          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:33 a.m.
                          • Opening roll - post Crawford
                            Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:50 a.m.
                          • Opening roll - post Crawford
                            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 4:16 a.m.
                    • Opening roll - post Crawford
                      Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:08 a.m.
                      • Opening roll - post Crawford
                        Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:25 a.m.
                        • Opening roll - post Crawford
                          Bob Koca -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:27 a.m.
                          • Opening roll - post Crawford
                            Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:40 a.m.
                          • Opening roll - post Crawford
                            Dan Pelton -- Friday, 21 November 2008, at 3:51 a.m.
                        • Opening roll - post Crawford
                          Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 3:46 a.m.
                          • Opening roll - post Crawford
                            Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 4:20 a.m.
                    • Opening roll - post Crawford
                      adambulldog -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 4:12 a.m.
              • Opening roll - post Crawford
                Neil Robins -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 10:22 a.m.
                • Opening roll - post Crawford
                  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 5:59 p.m.
                  • Rollout Opening 4/1 roll v weaker player
                    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 25 November 2008, at 3:51 a.m.
            • Opening roll - post Crawford
              Dan Pelton -- Friday, 21 November 2008, at 4:03 a.m.
              • Opening roll - post Crawford
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 21 November 2008, at 7:55 a.m.
                • Opening roll - post Crawford
                  Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 4:31 a.m.
                  • Time length of tournaments
                    Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 5:37 a.m.
                    • Time length of tournaments
                      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 5:52 a.m.
                • Opening roll - post Crawford
                  Martin -- Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 12:17 p.m.
      • Opening roll - post Crawford
        Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:02 a.m.
        • Opening roll - post Crawford
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:04 a.m.
          • Opening roll - post Crawford
            Coolrey -- Thursday, 20 November 2008, at 1:40 a.m.
  • Opening roll - post Crawford
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 11:13 p.m.
    • Opening roll - post Crawford
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 19 November 2008, at 11:54 p.m.