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Round #5 Play #5 Rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 21 November 2008, at 7:14 p.m.

In Response To: Round #5 Play #5 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Blunder! Since Kit broke his midpoint, I wanted to split his forces and noted that if I hit on the bar point, Kit wouldn't be able to make it and he would probably have to move the checker on the midpoint. I also dupe his 6s. But I should just go with the prudent 13/12*, unstacking, less shots. If Kit makes the bar point I am still in fine shape. If he hits me on his 5 point then I don't want him to have 27 shots next roll at the blot on my bar point, just the 15ish at the blot on my mid. If Kit doesn't make my bar I now have 5s 6s and 1s to hit him there instead of just 1s.

The score (after 5 games) is: Kit Woolsey 2, Matt Cohn-Geier 7 (match to 15 points)

Move number 10: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 51

Kit Woolsey151


2O2X ' ' '4X '3X1X '1X4O

2X ' ' ' '5O1X3O ' ' '1X

Matt Cohn-Geier179

Position ID: hueSIDDgc/AAWA Match ID: cInmASAAOAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves bar/20 8/7*

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/20 13/12* -0.0675
0.50240.15950.0137-0.49760.18620.0178 -0.0411 -0.0675
0.00280.00300.0013-0.00280.00270.0014 0.0089 0.0201
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
650 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805883957 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.24 (min. 1296 games)
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/20 8/7* -0.1748 ( -0.1073)
0.48130.15180.0161-0.51870.20850.0228 -0.1137 -0.1748
0.00310.00310.0025-0.00310.00280.0014 0.0101 0.0220
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
650 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805883957 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.24 (min. 1296 games)
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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