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Rollout at 3a4a

Posted By: Mislav Radica
Date: Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 1:54 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout at 3a4a started *NM* (Mislav Radica)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 8, Blue 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 2: White on roll, cube decision?

White98


 '2X '2O '4X4X3X2X ' '1O

 '2O2O2O2O2O '1O ' '1O '

Blue114

Position ID: tm0iAQaG924AAA Match ID: MAFgAYAAOAAA

• White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0,5137(Money: +0,5128)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +1,0056
2.Double, take +1,0957 +0,0901
3.Double, pass +1,0000 -0,0056
Proper cube action:Too good to double, pass (5,9%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube 75,27% 1,74% 0,01%- 24,73% 1,00% 0,02% +0,5137 +1,0056
Standard error 0,04% 0,10% 0,00%- 0,04% 0,10% 0,01% 0,0009 0,0038
Player Blue owns 2-cube 76,09% 1,90% 0,02%- 23,91% 1,09% 0,03% +1,5473 +1,0957
Standard error 0,05% 0,11% 0,01%- 0,05% 0,11% 0,01% 0,0023 0,0039
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4751 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806149617 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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