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Rollout at 3a4a

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 2:10 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout at 3a4a (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Of course not TG since GNU is taking passes next turn. My long rollout had this as a 1.0945 pass (lost it..comp troubles here). Here's a rollout of a race with about the same cubeless value at score and we can see that in a race I have clearly more recube vig than here.

The score (after 0 games) is: SilentCal 8, neilkaz 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 6: SilentCal on roll, cube decision?


 ' ' '2X2X3X2X2X2X2X ' '

 ' ' '1O2O2O2O3O2O1O1O1O

Pip counts: SilentCal 104, neilkaz 115
Position ID: aNutAgDYbtsAAA Match ID: MAFgAYAAOAAA

• SilentCal doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.5274(Money: +0.5274)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.0000
2.Double, take +1.0097 +0.0097
3.No double +0.8532 -0.1468
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.76370.00000.0000-0.23630.00000.0000 +0.5274 +0.8532
Standard error0.00000.00000.0000-0.00000.00000.0000 0.0001 0.0020
Player neilkaz owns 2-cube0.76350.00000.0000-0.23650.00000.0000 +1.5488 +1.0097
Standard error0.00010.00000.0000-0.00010.00000.0000 0.0003 0.0030
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1201 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806256738 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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