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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout at 3a4a
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: Rollout at 3a4a (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Saturday, 22 November 2008, at 2:10 a.m.
Of course not TG since GNU is taking passes next turn. My long rollout had this as a 1.0945 pass (lost it..comp troubles here). Here's a rollout of a race with about the same cubeless value at score and we can see that in a race I have clearly more recube vig than here.
The score (after 0 games) is: SilentCal 8, neilkaz 7 (match to 11 points)
Move number 6: SilentCal on roll, cube decision?
Pip counts: SilentCal 104, neilkaz 115
Position ID: aNutAgDYbtsAAA Match ID: MAFgAYAAOAAA
• SilentCal doubles
Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5274 (Money: +0.5274) Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.0097 +0.0097 3. No double +0.8532 -0.1468 Proper cube action: Double, pass Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7637 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2363 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5274 +0.8532 Standard error 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0020 Player neilkaz owns 2-cube 0.7635 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2365 0.0000 0.0000 +1.5488 +1.0097 Standard error 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0003 0.0030 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1201 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806256738 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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