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Snowie Rollout and Analysis

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Wednesday, 26 November 2008, at 3:27 a.m.

In Response To: Snowie Rollout and Analysis (Paul Weaver)

(Green) vs. (White)

Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0

Pip: 155 Game 1 Money session

Green-White: Score 0-0 Pip: 162 # Ply Move Equity 1 R bar/20 11/10 0.228

0.6% 14.1% 55.4% 44.6% 8.2% 0.4%

Live cube rollout: 0.245

95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.168 ±0.004, - live cube: 0.245 ±0.008. Rollout settings: Truncated rollout, depth 7, 668 games (equiv. 267025 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 4 pts, random seed, without race database.

2 R bar/20 6/5 0.205 (-0.023)

0.6% 14.2% 55.2% 44.8% 9.6% 0.5%

Live cube rollout: 0.219

95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.150 ±0.004, - live cube: 0.219 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Truncated rollout, depth 7, 648 games, played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 4 pts, seed 1, without race database.

3 3 bar/20 8/7 0.094 (-0.134)

0.5% 13.2% 52.1% 47.9% 10.5% 0.5% 4 3 bar/24* 20/15 0.082 (-0.146)

0.8% 14.4% 52.3% 47.7% 13.3% 0.6% 5 3 bar/24* 13/8 0.044 (-0.183)

0.9% 15.1% 50.7% 49.3% 13.2% 0.6%

This file has been generated bySnowie Professional Edition Version 4.7.1, a product of SnowieGroup SA Output date: 8:56:55 PM, 11/25/2008(Export v2.10)

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