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LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Wednesday, 26 November 2008, at 5:14 a.m.

In Response To: LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I wanted to play 13/8 13/7, Stick somehow convinced me to play 20/9 here.

Basically, we lose a ton on all of his aces, the pick & passes (or 11) hurt the most, but we also lose on 51 and 61. We also lose on 63. And we lose on 33. We pick up some small chunks of equity on his other rolls but not enough to offset those huge swings.

Stick: "Are you still worried about getting gammoned?" Well, GNU says 13/8 13/7 is slightly better than 20/9 for the win, but it also saves around 7% gammons.

The score (after 1 game) is: Kit Woolsey-Tami Jones 2, Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 31: Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice to play 65

Kit Woolsey-Tami Jones	70
Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice	116
Position ID: 2+YHCAA694ABAw Match ID: UQn3ACAAAAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier-Stick Rice moves 20/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/8 13/7	-0.7536
			0.1222 0.0039 0.0001 - 0.8778 0.0555 0.0022 -0.8095 -0.7536 0.0010 0.0003 0.0000 - 0.0010 0.0014 0.0007 0.0023 0.0030
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805874112 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/2	-0.7751 ( -0.0215)
			0.1284 0.0027 0.0000 - 0.8716 0.0965 0.0007 -0.8430 -0.7751 0.0011 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0011 0.0015 0.0001 0.0024 0.0035
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805874112 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	20/9	-0.8251 ( -0.0715)
			0.1188 0.0051 0.0012 - 0.8812 0.1252 0.0010 -0.8895 -0.8251 0.0014 0.0004 0.0011 - 0.0014 0.0024 0.0004 0.0033 0.0043
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805874112 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 23 November 2008, at 8:30 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2
    Martin -- Sunday, 23 November 2008, at 8:47 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2
    Havard Raddum -- Monday, 24 November 2008, at 8:39 a.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2
    neilkaz -- Monday, 24 November 2008, at 7:50 p.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 25 November 2008, at 2:24 a.m.
  • LV Doubles Round #3 Play #2 ROLLOUT
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 26 November 2008, at 5:14 a.m.