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-4-3 cube action ? OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 4:40 p.m.

In Response To: -4-3 cube action ? (neilkaz)

OTB, I felt that I had too many possible good sequences from here so I correctly sent the cube. This is not a score where I should try to fine tune my cube actions ! Chris scooped of course. I entered with 63 and covered but Chris managed to get out past the 5 prime, but his last checker escaped with 64 and he had to attack with the 4 and I hit from the roof and buried him after a few dances.

The score (after 8 games) is: cyep 8, neilkaz 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 10: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: cyep 142, neilkaz 149
Position ID: aHeDASjY1sEBUA Match ID: cAlgAYAAOAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.2724	(Money: +0.2225)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.5798
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.4202
3.	No double	+0.5302	-0.0496
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5729 0.2203 0.0288 - 0.4271 0.1529 0.0195 +0.2724 +0.5302 Standard error 0.0017 0.0021 0.0026 - 0.0017 0.0025 0.0026 0.0063 0.0128 Player cyep owns 2-cube 0.5739 0.2164 0.0554 - 0.4261 0.1731 0.0337 +0.8215 +0.5798 Standard error 0.0023 0.0027 0.0041 - 0.0023 0.0047 0.0034 0.0171 0.0194
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1492 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807335936 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• -4-3 cube action ?
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 3:50 a.m.
  • -4-3 cube action ?
    adambulldog -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 3:59 a.m.
  • -4-3 cube action ?
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 3:11 p.m.
  • -4-3 cube action ? OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 4:40 p.m.