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OTB ,,rollout etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 3 December 2008, at 3:35 a.m.

In Response To: So Chris missed my blot with this 41 (neilkaz)

OTB Chris took a while here and played 7/2. Why 7/3 6/5 is so much better is beyond me, but spares don't belong on the 2 pt. OTB I had a tiny pref for 24/20 7/6 which is clearly wrong since he is a dog to save w/out hitting and my pointing jokers are strong. In the post mortum no one mentioned the best play 7/3 2/1. Which caters to not missing with a last roll ace in the G save and hardly hurts the winning chances as so many hits will remake a pt.

The score (after 8 games) is: cyep 8, neilkaz 7 (match to 11 points)

Move number 59: cyep to play 41


'2X2X3X2X3X1X ' ' ' ' '

2X4O3O1O ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

Pip counts: cyep 105, neilkaz 21
Position ID: 3gUAAGy3CwBgAA Match ID: AQFmAYAAOAAA

• cyep moves 7/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -1.3765(Money: -1.0112)
0.2364 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.7636 0.4427 0.0413
Cubeful equities:
1.No double -1.2907
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +2.2907
3.Double, take -1.7858 -0.4951
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (17.8%)

Alert: very unlucky roll! ( -0.845)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 7/3 2/1 -2.1055
0.06420.00000.0000-0.93580.65230.3981 -2.1231 -2.1055
0.00070.00000.0000-0.00070.00060.0042 0.0018 0.0021
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4268 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 7/3 6/5 -2.1144 ( -0.0089)
0.06350.00000.0000-0.93650.65610.3858 -2.1319 -2.1144
0.00090.00000.0000-0.00090.00070.0041 0.0025 0.0028
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
4269 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 6/1 -2.1202 ( -0.0146)
0.06670.00000.0000-0.93330.66330.4140 -2.1391 -2.1202
0.00140.00000.0000-0.00140.00120.0080 0.0036 0.0043
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1156 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 4 R 7/2 -2.1373 ( -0.0317)
0.06060.00000.0000-0.93940.66410.3975 -2.1530 -2.1373
0.00150.00000.0000-0.00150.00110.0086 0.0035 0.0041
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
980 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 24/20 7/6 -2.1997 ( -0.0942)
0.04130.00000.0000-0.95870.67390.2828 -2.2105 -2.1997
0.00130.00000.0000-0.00130.00100.0077 0.0030 0.0035
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
980 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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