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LV Semifinals Cube #1

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 3:46 a.m.

In Response To: LV Semifinals Cube #1 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I was pretty unsure when Perry sent this cube over, had no idea whether it was a take or a drop. I thought he should have doubled me the roll before because I didn't know if I was taking or dropping then. Obviously the score is a bad time to be taking these, but I am up 19 pips and not on the bar...if I get hit once, the race is still close, if I don't get hit, I'm way ahead in the race.... I thought about this one for a long while, eventually took. GNU 2-ply says the decision is extremely close, 2-ply is wrong, it's a huge pass, I was kind of afraid of that. I suck out and win 2 points here.

The score (after 15 games) is: Perry Gartner 10, Matt Cohn-Geier 12 (match to 15 points)

Move number 11: Perry Gartner on roll, cube decision?

Perry Gartner	157
Matt Cohn-Geier	138
Position ID: jJ/BQRDY5uCAIQ Match ID: MAHgAaAAYAAA

• Perry Gartner doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5491	(Money: +0.5294)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.1745	+0.1745
3.	No double	+0.8865	-0.1135
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6761 0.2526 0.0084 - 0.3239 0.0790 0.0048 +0.5491 +0.8865 Standard error 0.0015 0.0019 0.0005 - 0.0015 0.0015 0.0013 0.0051 0.0083 Player Matt Cohn-Geier owns 2-cube 0.6898 0.2593 0.0096 - 0.3102 0.0831 0.0099 +1.2663 +1.1745 Standard error 0.0020 0.0026 0.0011 - 0.0020 0.0027 0.0021 0.0116 0.0128
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1033 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805633471 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 15 games) is: Perry Gartner 10, Matt Cohn-Geier 12 (match to 15 points)

Move number 11: Perry Gartner on roll, cube decision?

Perry Gartner	157
Matt Cohn-Geier	138
Position ID: jJ/BQRDY5uCAIQ Match ID: MAHgAaAAYAAA

• Perry Gartner doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.4623	(Money: +0.5091)
	0.6714 0.2402 0.0083 - 0.3286 0.0800 0.0022
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0120	+0.0120
3.	No double	+0.7961	-0.2039
Proper cube action:		Double, pass

Messages In This Thread

• LV Semifinals Cube #1
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 12:30 a.m.
  • LV Semifinals Cube #1
    adambulldog -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 4:05 a.m.
  • LV Semifinals Cube #1
    Havard Raddum -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 12:37 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Cube #1
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 1:09 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Cube #1
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 3:07 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Cube #1
    Keene -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 7:44 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Cube #1
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 3:46 a.m.
    • Rollout above *NM*
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 3:46 a.m.
    • LV Semifinals Cube #1 further action
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 4:42 a.m.