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LV Semifinals Play #5 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 3:50 a.m.

In Response To: LV Semifinals Play #5 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I'm glad to have at least been in the ballpark on a score-based play.

It seems like I have enough time to roll a clearing double. My thought was that for money I should pay now, at this DMPish score where gammons don't count for me it is very close but I have enough time to roll a clearing number and Perry has outfield control, so I should pay later. As it turns out I should still pay now but my play is only a very small error. Clear to pay now for money.

The score (after 16 games) is: Perry Gartner 10, Matt Cohn-Geier 14 (match to 15 points, Crawford game)

Move number 45: Matt Cohn-Geier to play 42

Perry Gartner	133
Matt Cohn-Geier	68
Position ID: nG1KAQw722MAAA Match ID: 8AnqAaAAcAAA

• Matt Cohn-Geier moves 6/4 6/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	9/7 9/5	+0.4681
			0.7348 0.4665 0.0127 - 0.2652 0.0129 0.0004 +0.4681 +0.4681 0.0004 0.0034 0.0007 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000 0.0007 0.0007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			12424 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806237006 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	6/4 6/2	+0.4651 ( -0.0031)
			0.7336 0.4369 0.0109 - 0.2664 0.0180 0.0006 +0.4651 +0.4651 0.0003 0.0034 0.0006 - 0.0003 0.0003 0.0000 0.0006 0.0006
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			12422 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 806237006 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.2
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• LV Semifinals Play #5
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 12:31 a.m.
  • LV Semifinals Play #5
    Havard Raddum -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 12:43 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Play #5
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 1:16 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Play #5
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 3:57 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Play #5
    Martin -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 6:26 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Play #5
    Keene -- Tuesday, 2 December 2008, at 7:46 p.m.
  • LV Semifinals Play #5 ROLLOUT
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 3:50 a.m.