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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 15 March 2007, at 5:41 a.m.

In Response To: More Jan. Chou cube action (Stick)

I cubed here, people told me it was early, I rock, end of story.

Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
120
88
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.452
0.2% 7.1% 70.6% 29.4% 3.2% 0.0%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.452 ±0.011, - live cube no double: 0.710 ±0.018, - live cube double take: 0.719 ±0.026. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 40414 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1. Double, take 0.701
2. No double 0.685 (-0.016)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.299)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Live cube
1. Double, take 0.719
2. No double 0.710 (-0.009)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.281)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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